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Welcome back!
It may have been a slow news week, but fantasy analysts don’t sleep and there’s plenty of spicy takes on display.
A big thanks to those of you who’ve joined up on Patreon. The support means a lot, and it’s been fun to get to know some of you.
Now here’s the good stuff:
News & Notes:
Blake Bortles has signed with the Packers. I repeat: Blake Bortles has signed with the packers.
The Vikings were reportedly prepared to draft QB Justin Fields if he fell to the team with the 14th pick.
Kerryon Johnson was claimed on waivers by the Eagles.
Analysis & Hype:
Twitter thread: “[Jaguars rookie RB] Travis Etienne is STILL my RB1 and he should be YOURS too:” — Also, a thread on /r/DynastyFF: “Don't let Travis Etienne fall past you in your rookie draft”
“Clyde Edwards-Helaire put up 1100 scrimmage yards in 12.5 games as a rookie in a notoriously complex Andy Reid offense behind an atrocious OL. And people wanna label the man a bust.”
In case you were wondering if the Eagles were committed to Jalen Hurts:
• Drafted Hurts in the 2nd round.
• Benched Wentz for Hurts
• Traded Wentz
• Didn't sign competition for him in FA
• Didn't draft competition for him/passed on Fields
Broncos rookie RB Javonte Williams forced the most missed tackles in college football last season with 76. It becomes even more impressive when you consider he was splitting time and did it on only 157 attempts.
A nifty, easy-to-understand breakdown of standard deviation explained in fantasy football terms.
Video breaking down why D'Andre Swift has “Exceptionally rare upside.”
For the film grinders looking to feast: 27 minutes of 49ers rookie QB Trey Lance tape. He may have only played 19 games, but it was enough to make the majority of those 27 look really good.
An optimistic outlook on Ravens rookie WR Rashod Bateman in Baltimore.
Nick Chubb’s stats by year:
2018: 1,145 yds | 10 TDs | 5.2 YPC
2019: 1,772 yds | 8 TDs | 5.0 YPC
2020: 1,217 yds | 12 TDs | 5.6 YPC
Nick Chubb missed 4 games and never surpassed a 62% snap share in 2020, but still finished as an RB1.
“Not only did 49ers QB Trey Lance turn 21 on Sunday. He's also the first player selected in the NFL draft to be born in the year 2000 or later.”
“Irv Smith finished 2nd among TEs's in 2020 with 2.24 Fantasy Points per Target”
“The ball was rarely on the ground” - Robert Saleh on Jets rookie QB Zach Wilson’s debut. — Some Wilson to Moore eye candy.
A word of caution on passing on Panthers rookie WR Terrace Marshall in dynasty drafts.
“Out of 6,500 NFL players who took the “Mental Aptitude Test” [Bears rookie QB] Justin Fields scored 1st. Above 100 is great, Mahomes is at 110. Fields scored a 130”
Interesting Twitter vote thread examining crowded/confusing depth charts in an attempt to identify possible values.
‘[Giants rookie WR] Kadarius Toney is a better prospect in my model than Henry Ruggs.Sorry, forgot to add, "That's the tweet."'
A friendly visual reminder that Adam Trautman is now the TE1 for the Saints.
Deeeep sleeper: Keep an eye on Dolphins rookie RB Gerrid Doaks.
Cold Water:
Packers GM Brian Gutekunst: QB Jordan Love has "a long way to go" in his development.
Thread on /r/DynastyFF: Too much hype and positivity recently. Pick a rookie and give him a pro comp who busted.
Podcasts I Enjoyed This Week:
Fantasy Footballers: Dynasty Week Kickoff! Dynasty Tips, Debates, and Old Guys Who Can Actually Help
Footballguys Dynasty Show: 49ers Backfield, 1st Round Rookie Pick Valuation
Establish The Run: Outliers in Silva's Top 150
The Fun Stuff:
Trying to explain why I still like in James Conner in dynasty.
There’s a very, very, very good chance that Tom Brady will break the all-time passing yards record this year in week 4 when he faces Bill Belichick and the Patriots.
Money Night Football and Sunday Night Football schedules.
What you look like when you cherry-pick your stats.
The off-season training porn is already here. Zeke looks nimble.
The Chargers and Panthers get pats ont he back for their schedule release videos.
“dynasty guy” unveils his 2021 rookie ranks.
Marquette King still got it.
“last year i feel like there was this huge divide between josh jacobs truthers and miles sanders truthers and now nobody wants either and i think that's really beautiful”