We’ve Got a Semi(final) for You
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Just two more weeks and it’s all over - the highs, the lows, and all of the in-between. As the sands of the fantasy season’s hourglass continue to thin, and championship hopes intensify or wane, each decision feels like it can make or break everything you’ve worked towards over the last four to five months. No pressure though! We’ve got the analysis you need to push through and make the finals.
If two weeks isn’t enough fantasy and you need to stay plugged in all offseason long, make sure to check out (and subscribe to!) our premium Discord for riveting discussion, round-the-clock news, draft analysis, and of course - plenty of complaining about what went wrong this year.
Now without further ado, let’s get to the good stuff.
Analysis & Hype:
Chase Brown weekly PPR finishes since Zack Moss was put on IR:
• RB4
• RB3
• RB8
• RB9
• RB5
• RB4
James Conner before his extension on November 30th: 14.7 FPG.
In the three games since: 21.4
Jahmyr Gibbs' per-game averages in 3 games without Montgomery last year:
• 18.0 carries
• 5.7 targets
• 132 total yards
Only Saquon Barkley has more rushing yards than Rico Dowdle since Week 9.
Josh Allen is the second player in NFL history to have 700+ passing yards and 150+ rushing yards over any two-game span. Michael Vick did it in 2011. Vick had 4 total TD and 5 INT in that span. Josh had 10 TD and 0 INT.
Josh Allen since getting engaged:
• 14 TD’s
• 1.3k yards
• 0 TO’s
• 0 sacks
Josh Allen's 93.26 fantasy points these past two weeks are the fifth-most across any two-game span in history:
• 100.5 Cloyce Box, 1950
• 98.84 Jerry Rice, 1995
• 94.6 Todd Gurley II, 2017
• 94.3 Drew Bennett, 2004
• 93.26 Allen, 2024
Jaxon Smith-Njigba is one of four WRs w/ 75 catches, 900+ yards, and 5+ TDs (joining Ja'Marr Chase, CeeDee Lamb, and Justin Jefferson).
Jordan Addison is 6th all-time in touchdown receptions by a player under the age of 23.
Of all the WRs taken in the 2022 NFL Draft, the top 2 in receiving touchdowns are:
1. Romeo Doubs (15)
2. Christian Watson (14)
Yards before contact per carry, on runs to the A or B gaps this season.
• 1st - Eagles (2.7)
• 32nd - Seahawks (0.6)
Five players in the NFL have 1,000+ receiving yards:
• Ja'Marr Chase
• Justin Jefferson
• CeeDee Lamb
• Amon-Ra St. Brown
• Jerry Jeudy
Aaron Rodgers last 7 games:
• 13 TD
• 1 INT
• 100.4 rating
Noah Gray leads the Chiefs in receiving touchdowns.
Davante Adams had 135 Rec yds in the final 4 minutes of regulation, the most by any player in a game this century.
Davante Adams has dropped a 30+ fantasy point game in the fantasy playoffs every season for 5-consecutive years.
Lamar Jackson is the first player with 3+ passing touchdowns and 50+ rushing yards *IN THE FIRST HALF* in the last five years. The last player to do it? Lamar Jackson (Week 12 2019).
There are now eight games in NFL history with 50+ rushing yards and 5+ passing TDs. Lamar Jackson has four of them. Two this year.
Most consecutive regular season games with 250+ pass yards and 3+ pass touchdowns since at least 1970:
• 2007 Tom Brady (6)
• 2024 Joe Burrow (6 and active)
Mark Andrews touchdowns:
• Weeks 1-5: 0
• Weeks 6-15: 8 (most among all TE)
Trey McBride is now up to 87 catches this season, the most catches without a receiving touchdown in a single season in NFL history. And that catch came on the 1-yard line.
Mike Evans now at 749 yards this season. Needs to average about 84 yards per game over the next three to get to 1,000.
Brian Thomas Jr. since the bye:
• 29.4% target share (~WR2)
• 89.0 receiving YPG (~WR5)
• 22.6 FPG (~WR2)
Cold Water:
NYG QB Tim Boyle has attempted a pass in 11 career games since 2019. His team has lost every single one of them, by a combined score of 130-304.
Sam Howell had 5 Net Yards vs. the Packers. That is the 9th worst game by a QB with 15+ Dropbacks in any game since 2000. That ranks 13,004th out of 13,012.
Anthony Richardson has the 2nd worst Inaccurate Throw Rate for any QB in any season with 250+ attempts since 2000 (17.7%). Richardson ranks 776th out of 777.
Jonathan Mingo's route rates since joining the Cowboys:
• Week 11: 31%
• Week 12: 24%
• Week 13: 22%
• Week 14: 17%
• Week 15: 10%
Broncos vs Colts QB EPA/Play:
• Anthony Richardson: -0.17
• Bo Nix: -0.33
Bengals vs Titans Penalties:
• Bengals: 14/113 yards
• Titans: 12/110 yards
Tyrone Tracy’s last four backfield carry shares: 75% > 56% > 89% > 56%
Bills vs. Lions:
• 1,080 total yards
• 90 total points
• 58 total first downs
• Amari Cooper: Zero targets
Brock Purdy 20+ yards downfield on Thursday: 0-7, 1 INT.
Matthew Stafford has now had an NFL-high 8 interceptions dropped this season (PFF).
Waiver Weapons - Week Sixteen:
Each week, Camaron and Chris highlight a player who is available in fewer than 33% of fantasy leagues, and who they believe you can start for the upcoming week (excluding kickers and defenses). Last week was pretty mediocre for the waiver weapons. Chris’ pick left the game early due to an ankle injury and has already been ruled out for the season, meanwhile Camaron’s pick Daniel Bellinger put up a mediocre 6.5 PPR points. It’s the seminfinals so it’s time to bounce back and rise to the challenge.
Camaron’s Pick: Malik Washington, WR, MIA (4% rostered on Sleeper) - Odell Beckham Jr. has been released by the Dolphins. His vacated position was immediately filled by slot receiver Malik Washington last week who had 5 catches for 52 yards. When NFL teams are eliminated from the playoffs, they’ll often times bench the veteran players to see what the young guys have in store for the future. If Jaylen Waddle’s injury continues to be a problem, Washington could become a top three target on the team.
Chris’ Pick: Kendre Miller, RB, NO (32% rostered on Sleeper) - After Alvin Kamara went down late in last week’s game vs. the Commanders, Miller stepped up to average over five yards per carry in his stead. With Kamara questionable to play this week (the Saints signed CEH which one has to assume doesn’t bode well), Miller could be in for a ton of volume against the Packers - especially with the Saints also likely to start a backup QB again this week.
The Fun Stuff:
What if I told you that you could be a part of history for the price of a stadium beer?
Let’s pack it up - the award is already in the bag.
Kyler: I’ve played in cold weather before. How cold is it supposed to be? Reporter: 35 Kyler: …shit
Players with more receiving touchdowns this season than Trey McBride:
• QB Josh Allen
• QB Jared Goff
• QB Bo Nix
• DE Sam Hubbard
• OT Dan Skipper
• OT Trent Scott
• OT Wayna Morris
• OT Vederian Lowe
Jordan Love career numbers:
• Not during Toyotathon: 3,829 yards, 29 TDs, 25 INTs
• During Toyotathon: 3,283 yards, 26 TDs, 2 INTs
Teddy Bridgewater wins a state championship in his first year as head coach of Miami Northwestern (FL).
The Lions now have won a game this season in which Jared Goff threw five interceptions (Week 10 vs. Texans) and lost a game this season in which he threw five touchdowns (Week 15 vs. Bills).
Chiefs CB Trent McDuffie says he saw Browns QB Jameis Winston launch the ball to his side on the Jumbotron and he turned around to pick it off.
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