Trey McBride SZN

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Welcome back to the FF Newsletter!

We’re here! Week 1 starts now. This is where the analysis starts to get real, and the rising stars are found. We’ll keep you locked in on all the best analysis coming out each week. Let’s go win some championships.

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Now without further ado, let’s get to the good stuff.

Analysis & Hype:

Ravens rank in rush yards before contact per carry (PFF):
• 2023: 1st
• 2022: 2nd
• 2021: 2nd
• 2020: 1st
• 2019: 1st

Second Year Tight Ends to post a 26%+ Target Rate and 2.00+ Yards per Route Run:
• George Kittle
• Mark Andrews
• Jimmy Graham
• Trey McBride

Trey McBride was a top-12 Fantasy TE in 10 of 12 games as a starter last season.

Eagles RBs since Jalen Hurts got the starting job:
• Rush attempts from opponent's 2-5 yard lines: 61 (1st)
• Rush attempts from opponent's 1-yard line: 10 (30th)

DJ Moore has scored the 10th-most PPR points at WR over the past two seasons combined.

Bucky Irving led College football in receptions by a Running Back with 57 in 2023.

Justin Herbert is third all time in passing yards per game, above Joe Burrow, Peyton Manning, Tom Brady & Aaron Rodgers.

Rookie Running Backs to post a 16%+ Target Share
• Christian McCaffrey
• Alvin Kamara
• Saquon Barkley
• Reggie Bush
• Bijan Robinson

Cole Kmet had more touches than Brandon Aiyuk in 2023.

David Njoku was the TE1 in PPG (15.5 PPG) over the second-half of 2023 (WK9-18).

Other top-six NFL picks who declared early for the draft. They averaged 23% of their team targets as rookies.
• A.J. Green
• Julio Jones
• Justin Blackmon
• Sammy Watkins
• Amari Cooper
• Jaylen Waddle
• Ja'Marr Chase
• Marvin Harrison Jr.?

Jaylen Wright had the 33rd best running back Relative Athletic Score since 1987.

Tony Pollard is the only RB (other than Javonte Williams) to have 250+ touches & 40+ receptions last year priced outside of the Top-24 RB’s this year. He was PFF’s #1 graded RB from WK10 on last season.

Tee Higgins' 5 Games without Ja'Marr Chase
• 3/49/1
• 7/60/0
• 9/148/0
• 7/114/1
• 5/140/1

Since 2014, Aaron Rodgers has 23 TD passes, 3 INTs, a 113.6 passer rating, and a 10-0 record on Monday Night Football.

Garrett Wilson can become the 5th player in NFL history with at least 80 receptions & 1,000 receiving yards in each of his first three seasons. He would join Odell Beckham Jr., Ja’Marr Chase, Justin Jefferson and Michael Thomas.

When the 49ers and Jets meet on Monday, it will be first time since the 1970 merger that the two teams who led the league in most yards per play (Niners Offense - 6.6) and fewest yards allowed per play (Jets Defense - 4.6) from the prior season will meet in an opener.

Zay Flowers finished his rookie year with 20+ fantasy points in 5 of his last 7 games. The last time he played KC, he put up 5/115/1 & was inches short of a second TD.

Rashee Rice averaged 16.2 PPR PPG after the Bye Week last season (Ja’Marr Chase/Deebo Samuel range). If you only look at the games he played more than 75% of the snaps after the Bye, he averaged 17.4 PPR PPG (Nico Collins/Puka Nacua range).

In his four-game stretch as Pittsburgh’s WR1, George Pickens averaged 89 receiving yards per game on a 29% target share.

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Cold Water:

Week 1 fantasy point totals from 2023 (PPR):
• Tyler Allgeier (24.4)
• Kendrick Bourne (24.4)
• Mac Jones (24.1)
• Tutu Atwell (17.9)
• Roschon Johnson (17.5)

Zack Moss is listed as the RB1 and Chase Brown is the primary kick returner on the Bengals' official Week 1 depth chart.

Only six first-round QBs have posted negative EPA in each of their first three seasons since 2000:
• Sam Darnold
• Daniel Jones
• Zach Wilson
• Justin Fields
• Joey Harrington
• Kyle Boller

If the NFL season ended today, it would be the first time the Jets didn't record a losing season since 2015

Joe Burrow has never thrown a touchdown in the fourth quarter of a playoff game (7 games played). Travis Kelce has thrown one.

Keenan Allen was 2nd in the NFL in rec yards (329) and TDs (3) while in motion last season. During new Bears OC Shane Waldron's three year tenure with the Seahawks, they ran the 4th fewest motion plays in the league.

Of the last 40 passes Aaron Rodgers attempted of 30+ yards, he completed just six (for the worst completion rate in a season since 2000) and threw four interceptions vs. just two TDs. 47% of his incompletions were due to inaccuracy.

The Fun Stuff:

How long until this legendary fake punt tactic is illegal?

Giants are training their receivers with a JUGS machine that throws just like Daniel Jones.

How do college football players continually have the greatest names?

Things don’t seem to be going great in Cincinnati.

Ricky Pearsall walking to the ambulance after being shot during an attempted robbery in San Francisco. He was back in the weight room two days later.

Gardner Minshew with an early quote of the year candidate.

The Titans posted a five-minute video of players being told they made the 53-man roster.

Rome Odunze has that (quiet) dog in him.

Ladd McConkey’s real first name is Andrew. Xavier Legette’s real first name is Anthony.

Some Drake Maye basketball highlights to round things out this week.

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