🏈 "Through seven weeks, Daniel Jones has more rushing yards than Najee Harris."
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Welcome back!
I propose we invent a new version of fantasy football where Kyle Pitts can’t hurt us anymore. Good luck in week 8!
Analysis & Hype:
Best Fantasy Draft Picks by Round + Measured by fantasy wins above replacement (WAR)
R1: Austin Ekeler
R2: Josh Allen
R3: Tyreek Hill
R4: Marquise Brown
R5: Breece Hall
R6: Dameon Pierce
R7: Josh Jacobs
R8: Rhamondre Stevenson
“Mark Andrews has been running close to 30 routes per game. Isaiah Likely has a 22% targets per route run (TPRR) rate this season playing alongside Andrews If Andrews can’t go, fire up Likely w/ confidence against the Bucs, as he could easily see 7+ targets in a favorable matchup”
Through seven weeks, Daniel Jones has more rushing yards than Najee Harris.
Daniel Jones QBR weekly ranking:
WK1: 28th
WK2: 23rd
WK3: 21st
WK4: 3rd
WK5: 5th
WK6: 4th
WK7: 2nd
4 straight top 5 performances.
Josh Jacobs this season (among RBs):
91.3 PFF Grade (1st)
37 rushes for a first down (1st)
36 missed tackles forced (3rd)
6 red-zone RUSH TDs (T-1st)
19 rushes of 10+ yards (2nd)
Josh Jacobs last three games:
vs. Broncos: 175 yards, 2 TDs
vs. Chiefs: 193 yards, 1 TD
vs. Texans: 155 yards, 3 TDs
Top-5 TEs in Fantasy Football PPG
1: Kelce
2: Andrews
3: TJ Hockenson
4: Zach Ertz
5: Taysom Hill
How big is the drop off from TE 1 to TE 5? 9 PPG That’s the difference between the RB 1 and the RB 14, and the WR 1 and the WR 12.
“The Bears tweaking their QB run game after a Week 6 mini-bye is the exact same timing as the Eagles’ run-heavy pivot last year. Sometimes you need an opportunity to take a breath and think about what needs to change. Justin Fields had 10 designed runs last night. He had 18 last season.”
“Parris Campbell was getting a lot of cardio in earlier this year, but he now has 23 targets and has averaged almost a 25% target share per game over the last two weeks.”
Joe Burrow has made 33 NFL starts. An absurd five of them have resulted in 400+ passing yards with 3+ passing TDs. Record for most 400-yard passing games is held by Drew Brees. He made 287 career starts and had 16 of them.
There’s currently 7 players with a 30%+ Target Share this season:
Cooper Kupp
CeeDee Lamb
Davante Adams
Mark Andrews
Tyreek Hill
AJ Brown
Drake London
Wide receivers with a 20%+ target share in all seven weeks of the NFL season:
1. DJ Moore
2. CeeDee Lamb
Kenny Pickett when targeting George Pickens:
17/22, 223 yards, 10.1 YPA, 123.9 passer rating.
Mitch Trubisky when targeting George Pickens:
9/18, 115 yards, 6.4 YPA, 70.4 passer rating.
Easy to see which Steelers QB has better chemistry with Pickens.
WRs who have not dropped a pass yet this season (min. 40 targets), per PFR:
George Pickens
Tyler Lockett
Adam Thielen
QB scoring over the last three weeks:
1. Joe Burrow
2. Patrick Mahomes
3. Josh Allen
4. Justin Fields
5. Trevor Lawrence
Alec Pierce saw a career high 96.9% snap rate in week 7, per Next Gen Stats, playing just one fewer snap than Parris Campbell and two fewer than Michael Pittman.
Through seven weeks, two WRs have a 80+ PFF receiving grade: Drake London and Chris Olave
Chris Olave’s 495 receiving yards are eighth-most by a rookie WR in their first six games as a pro since 1970 Not a bad list to be on.
Jonathan Taylor saw a season-high 19.5% target share in week 7 and tied a career high with 8 targets.
Rhamondre Stevenson retained an every-down role despite the return of Damien Harris on Monday Night Football.
Snaps 77%
Rush Atts 69%
Route Participation 69%
Target Share 32%
Passing Downs 100%
Inside five-yard line 100%
Most 10+ yard runs through 7 weeks:
Nick Chubb: 24
Lamar Jackson: 21
Josh Jacobs: 19
Saquon Barkley: 17
Daniel Jones: 15
Breece Hall: 15
RB Explosive rush (10+ yards) rate leaders:
19% - Nick Chubb, Khalil Herbert, Breece Hall
18% - Kenneth Walker
17% - Josh Jacobs, Aaron Jones
15% - Travis Etienne
14% - Rhamondre Stevenson, Kareem Hunt
13% - Tony Pollard, Jonathan Taylor, Austin Ekeler, Raheem Mostert
Air Yard leaders through 7 weeks:
Chris Olave: 912
Tyreek Hill: 837
Courtland Sutton: 717
Mike Williams: 695
Dionte Johnson: 690
Start Ravens pass-catchers… Buccaneers secondary:
S Logan Ryan (foot, IR)
S Antoine Winfield (concussion, out)
CB Carlton Davis (hip, out)
CB Sean Murphy-Bunting (quad, out)
“Not sure there has been a single "late round fantasy WR" this year. Only fringe top-100 overall ADPs were Tyler Boyd, Chris Olave, & Jakobi Meyers. If you want WR production, you have to draft them early. For 2023 best ball, I can see more 7 RB builds after 5-6 stud WRs early.”
“Austin Ekeler has no carries inside the 5. Only 2 games with 40 rushing yards Minus one game, he's averaging 34.5 rushing YPG. Less than QB Daniel Jones (49.0), TE Taysom Hill (46.0), RB Kenyan Drake (37.8) And none of this matters when you're seeing WR1 target volume”
Wan'Dale Robinson's route participation increased from 35% in Week 6 to 81% in Week 7, per PFF data. Led Giants w/ 27% target share & has 28% target rate (TPRR) over the last two. Could lead Giants in targets the rest of way -- not much competition.
Kenneth Walker III now working in the two-minute offense and pushing for every-down status:
75% Snaps
71% Rushing attempts
65% Route participation
67% Short yardage
22% Long-down distance
100% Two-minute offense
Derrick Henry’s last three games vs. the Texans:
32-211-3
22-212-2
34-250-2
“Now is a good time to buy low on James Cook. He was the #2 RB in the Bills last game before the bye. Zack Moss was a healthy scratch Devin Singletary is the bell cow but Cook is one of the best stash handcuffs right now”
“[Kyle] Pitts has the Julio TD curse. Multiple "what could have been plays" from Week 7.” (video)
Rumor: “The Chiefs, Packers and Rams have contacted the Texans regarding trading for WR1 Brandin Cooks.
Tyreek Hill is on pace for 138 catches and 1877 receiving yards in his first year as a Dolphin. Tyreek's career highs with Chiefs was 111 catches and 1479 receiving yards.
Aaron Jones played a season-high 76.6% of Green Bay's offensive snaps in Week 7. AJ Dillon hasn't turned in a top-20 PPR performance since Week 1.
Thread on /r/fantasyfootball: “We are halfway through the fantasy regular season, what lessons have we learned?”
Thread on /r/fantasyfootball: “Week 7 Overreactions”
Headline: “Chiefs to start rookie RB Isiah Pacheco over Clyde Edwards-Helaire vs. 49ers”
Cold Water:
Diontae Johnson is now dead last in yards per target among all NFL WRs. Absolutely dreadful 5.0 YPT.
Jerry Jeudy Catch Score by season. 0-99 scale.
2020: 17
2021: 31
2022: 25
The Falcons are passing the ball at a rate equal to that of 1946.
With Allen Lazard banged up, Romeo Doubs led the Packers with 31 routes in week 7. He caught zero of his 4 targets, and he's now caught just 4 of 13 targets over his last two games.
Romeo Doubs down to 5.6 yards per target this season, third-worst among all qualifying WRs. He's also at a dreadful 1.05 yards per route run, 78th among 97 qualifiers.
Deebo Samuel averaged 5.7 rush attempts per game from Weeks 1 through 3. Since, that number's been 1.8. Week 7 marked the first time he failed to hit double-digit PPR points in a game this season.
Lamar Jackson Weeks 1-3: 102.26 points (34.09 PPG)
Lamar Jackson Weeks 4-7: 54.62 points (13.66 PPG)
Career Fantasy Points
Pat Freiermuth: 216.7
Kyle Pitts: 216.4
2022 Fantasy Points
Daniel Bellinger: 49.4
Kyle Pitts: 39.8
The Fun Stuff:
“I don’t understand why the Browns continue to give Nick Chubb so many touches when Kareem Hunt clearly is the one on my fantasy team”
Kenneth Walker’s new profile picture.
This camera angle of Andy Dalton’s pick-6.
Joe Burrow with the grill.
Bailey Zappe casually singing along to “Stacy’s Mom” after hopping off the bench to lead back-to-back touchdown drives.
“On today's Packers practice episode of no context Aaron Rodgers”
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