“Sam Darnold Should Sue the Jets"
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Welcome back!
I’m heading off on a camping trip today, so sending this a day earlier than the usual Thursday post.
Also, recent studies show that leagues with everyone subscribed to The FF Newsletter have a 200% higher activity and trade rate. And 87% of all statistics on the internet are made up. Buuuut, where there’s hype, there are trades. Get your league jazzed up:
Now let’s get these headlines.
-Will
Analysis & Hype:
Jalen Hurts has the lowest bad throw % of all starting QBs in the NFL, according to ProFootballReference.
Most fantasy points by a QB in first 8 career starts:
Patrick Mahomes: 201.3
Deshaun Watson: 197.0
Cam Newton: 193.6
Jalen Hurts: 191.2
Justin Herbert: 190.9
Most total yards through first 8 QB starts in NFL history:
1) Cam Newton 2603
2) Jalen Hurts: 2584
3) Justin Herbert: 2414
4) Patrick Mahomes: 2312
This is mostly fluff, but I’ll allow it: “Jalen Hurts was asked whether he agreed with Sirianni that this is one of the best games he’s played. His response was one of the strongest messages I’ve seen from him or any Eagles QB since I’ve started to cover the team” (Video)
“Ezekiel Elliott *looks* so much faster.
So I checked @NextGenStats. He's been a top-20 "fastest ball carrier" in 2 of the first 4 weeks so far. ... He didn't make that list in a single week last year.”
Ezekiel Elliot is averaging 5.3 YPC this year. That’s higher than:
Nick Chubb
Derrick Henry
Dalvin Cook
Antonio Gibson
Alvin Kamara
Ezekiel Elliott in his last 2 games:
238 rushing yards
6.4 yards per attempt
3 TDs
“Since routes run were tracked, these are the only full 16-game seasons with a Y/RR over 3.00:
2017 Julio Jones - 3.08
2011 Victor Cruz - 3.08
2015 Julio Jones - 3.04
2012 Andre Johnson - 3.02
2008 Roddy White - 3.01
That's it. Cooper Kupp's Y/RR is currently 3.86.”
Saquon Barkley last two weeks:
* 117-of-134 snaps (87%)
* 40-of-43 RB touches (93%)
* 13 targets for a 17.3% target share
Mac Jones has completed 70.0% of his passes so far this year (112/160). That's the highest completion percentage by any QB in NFL history over his first 4 career games (min. 100 attempts).
“If you weren’t excited about Josh Gordon on the Chiefs before, just listen Travis Kelce describe what he’s seen so far” (Video)
“Giants WR Kadarius Toney had a career-best 6 catches for 78 yards in Week 4. Here is a look at 3 of them. This dude has rare change of direction and is absolutely electric with the football in his hands” (video)
WRs with the highest share of team WR targets through four weeks:
Ridley 60.0%
Cooks 57.4%
Deebo 54.6%
Davante 52.3%
McLaurin 50.7%
DJ Moore 48.9%
Meyers 48.8%
Pittman Jr. 48.0%
Tyreek 46.9%
Kupp 46.5%
DJ Moore 2021:
30 rec, 43 targets, 398 yards, 3 TD
Pace: 120 rec, 172 targets, 1592 yards (1672 tot yards), 12 TD
Deebo Samuel through four games: 28 catches, 490 yards, 3 TDs
49ers QBs have a 130.1 passer rating when targeting Deebo this season.
“D'Andre Swift disappointed today in the box score, but I feel even better than last week when he smashed. Why?
73% snaps
71% routes
35% attempts 💩
78% short-down-distance
89% long-down-distance
100% 2-minute offense
Owns roles that matter on bad team.”
Burrow to Ja'Marr Chase is generating a passer rating of 152 this season.
Perfect is 158.3
“If Derrick Henry didn't exist, Cordarrelle Patterson would be the #1 scoring fantasy RB by 9 points.”
Sam Darnold is the Panther’s first QB in franchise history with three straight games of 300+ passing yards.
Week 4 RB snap rate leaders:
95% — James Robinson
89% — Darrell Henderson
88% — Saquon, Alvin Kamara
82% — Lenny Fournette
79% — Najee Harris
73% — Zeke Elliott, Joe Mixon
72% — D'Andre Swift
68% — Mike Davis
65% — Chase Edmonds, Malcolm Brown
63% — Aaron Jones, Latavius Murray
“Travis Kelce & George Kittle TDs in 2021: 3
Dawson Knox: 4
Tight End University product.”
This video of Josh Allen praising Dawson Knox could also be filed under “mostly fluff,” but it’s worth noting.
Latavius Murray saw 78.3% of Baltimore's running back rushes today. That was highest for any Ravens back on the season. Previous high was Ty'Son Williams at 52% in Week 2.
Thread on /r/fantasyfootball: “Clyde Edwards-Helaire last two weeks: 31 carries for 202 yards, 6.5 ypc. Two straight games with 100+ rushing yards with a receiving TD in each”
Threads on /r/DynastyFF:
“Capitalize on PANIC! Who are your top 5 buy lows?”
“Is Dawson Knox an ascending player at a hard-to-fill position, or a sell high?”
Potential Trade Targets:
“TEs with more fantasy usage per game than Kyle Pitts:
Darren Waller
Rob Gronkowski
Travis Kelce
#RegressBaby”
Daniel Jeremiah: “Studied all of Kyle Pitts targets. He's still a freak. ATL needs to get him more opportunities down the field. His game speed jumps off screen.”
“There are 8 players this season with at least 5 catches in every game: Davante Adams, DJ Moore, Justin Jefferson, Deebo Samuel, Cooper Kupp, Calvin Ridley, Brandin Cooks and....
Hunter Renfrow”
Darrell Henderson’s usage in two full games with Rams this year:
* 110-of-120 snaps
* 30-of-34 RB carries
* 100% RB targets
* 100% RB touches inside 10 & 5
* RB16, RB15
Laviska Shenault Jr.:
Weeks 1-3: 88 Air Yards on 19 targets
Week 4 with Chark out: 79 Air Yards on 6 targets
Kenneth Gainwell was the 2nd best RB in week 4, according to PFF (90.0)
He is their 5th highest graded RB through 4 weeks.
Most missed tackles forced rushing this season:
1. Nick Chubb: 18 on 69 carries — 26%
2. Javonte Williams: 17 on 46 carries — 37%
Dalton Schultz's target shares by week:
1: 10.5%
2: 7.4%
3: 28.0%
4: 36.4%
Most 25-yard offensive plays by RBs since 2019:
19 - Derrick Henry [810 touches]
19 - Nick Chubb [591]
18 - Miles Sanders [459]
16 - Alvin Kamara [584]
13 - Dalvin Cook [709]
12 - Aaron Jones [584]
12 - Ronald Jones [439]
12 - Saquon Barkley [342]
12 - Austin Ekeler [444]
I’m also confused by both Sanders and Gainwell being included here this week.
Cold Water:
TJ Hockenson tight end finishes by week (PPR):
1: 3rd
2: 2nd
3: 34th
4: 15th
Chris Godwin target shares:
Week 1: 30%
Week 2: 14%
Week 3: 13%
Week 4: 10%
Eagles Week 4 RB opportunities (carries + targets):
Kenneth Gainwell - 11
Miles Sanders - 10
The Fun Stuff:
“Sam Darnold should sue the Jets.”
When Myles Garrett goes sleeveless.
“All three of my children crying and in hysterics after Darren Waller spiked that football and yet you guys want the refs to take it easy on him”
Javonte Williams: 1-man wrecking crew.
Patriots fans after getting beat by Tom Brady.
“People keep saying that you’re screwed at tight end in fantasy football if you don’t have Travis Kelce, but those people clearly forgot that CJ Uzomah exists.”
Josh Allen and Dawson Knox taking a prom photo.
Dawson Knox watches soccer.
“Rodgers tried to quick snap the Steelers but Mike Tomlin wasn’t having it.” (Video)
“Fantasy football is a game people get mad and fight about and then Brandon Bolden scores roughly the same as Alvin Kamara, who scored much less than Cordarrelle Patterson”
“At some point we all need to look ourselves in the mirror and admit Cordarrelle Patterson is the best player in the NFL”
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