Moment of Silence for Chris Olave’s Unrealized Air Yards

Welcome back!

Quick. All us Jahmyr Gibbs truthers need to take as many victory laps as we can before David Montgomery returns. Godspeed for week 9, folks.

Analysis & Hype:

Derrick Henry career yards per carry by month:
• September: 3.9
• October: 4.6
• November: 5.1
• December: 5.5
• January: 4.9

Davante Adams caught one pass last night and is still on pace for: 100 catches, 1145 yards, and 6.5 touchdowns.

Quarterback grading and efficiency through Sunday Week 8
• Despite some mediocre games, Brock Purdy still No. 1 in efficiency
• Josh Allen with the highest PFF grade, 3rd in efficiency

Cardinals TE Trey McBride joined Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez as the only tight ends since 2000 to record 14+ targets in a game at the age of 23 or younger.

TE’s with 10+ receptions & 95+ yards in a game in their first or second NFL season (since the year 2000):
• Jeremy Shockey
• Zach Ertz
• Jimmy Graham
• Trey McBride

Targets per route run for tight ends with 100+ routes in 2023:
• 31% Travis Kelce
• 27% Trey McBride
• 24% TJ Hockenson
• 23% Sam LaPorta
• 23% Zach Ertz

Jahmyr Gibbs set new career-highs in carries (26), rushing yards (152), and rushing yards over expected (+45) in the Lions' Week 8 win over the Raiders.

Travis Etienne current 17-game pace:
• 378 touches
• 1,804 yards
• 17 TD

Javonte Williams is 2nd in the NFL in yards after-contact per-attempt (behind only Breece Hall) coming into WK8.

Jordan Addison last two games: 14 receptions, 205 yards, 3 touchdowns.

Through seven weeks, Jordan Addison's 105 PPR points ranks as the fourth most of any rookie WR of the last 10 years. Justin Jefferson's 101.7 is good for eighth.

Panthers with the new play caller:
Chuba Hubbard: 45/67 snaps, 21/40 routes, 17 touches.
Miles Sanders: 2 touches on 12 snaps.
Blackshear: 10 snaps.

Zay Flowers
• 61 targets
• 44 receptions
• 461 yards
• 1 TD
• Pace of 94/979/2 on 130 targets
• 70.5 PFF Receiving Grade
• 12.2 PPG
Josh Downs
• 56 targets
• 40 receptions
• 473 yards
• 2 TD’s
• Pace of 85/1005/4 on 119 targets
• 74.9 PFF Receiving Grade
• 12.4 PPG

Seattle Seahawks RB splits in Week 8:
Snap rate:
• 56% — Zach Charbonnet
• 44% — Kenneth Walker
Rushes:
• 8 — Walker
• 5 — Charbonnet
Routes run:
• 22 — Charbonnet
• 10 — Walker
Red zone snap rate (10 plays):
• 60% — Charbonnet
• 40% — Walker

Houston Texans' backfield over their last two games
• Carries: Singletary - 25, Pierce - 22
• Targets: Singletary - 4, Pierce - 0
• Red-zone touches: Singletary - 8, Pierce - 6

Since Week 6: Taysom Hill is the TE2 behind only Travis Kelce.

A list of every rookie WR with a receiving and a rushing touchdown this season:
• Jake Bobo

Will Levis had as many passing touchdowns (2) on his first 14 NFL pass attempts as Ryan Tannehill has this season.

Kenny Pickett is completing 73.1% of his passes when using play action, 7th best in the league amongst qualified QBs… but Pickett has only attempted 26 passes using play action, the 32nd most amongst all QBs.

Travis Kelce missed Week One and still has almost 30 more fantasy points than any other TE this season.

Trey Palmer has hit a 15% target share in two of his last three games.

Adam Thielen saw a 35.5% target share in Week 8. He's been over the 35% mark in three consecutive games.

Garrett Wilson has scored 15+ PPR points in three of his last four. He's hit target shares of 36% and 38% over his last two.

David Njoku has had back to back games with a 25% target share. He was under a 13% target share in four of his five games prior.

Rashee Rice ran the second-most routes for Kansas City in Week 8, trailing only Travis Kelce.

Cold Water:

Alexander Mattison inside the five-yard line this season:
• 6 carries
• -3 yards
• 0 TD

George Pickens target share with and without Diontae Johnson this year
• 17.5% with Diontae
• 27.9% without Diontae

George Pickens ran a 'Go/Corner/Post' rate hit at a season-high 63% in Week 8.

170 air yards, 46 actual yards for Chris Olave vs. colts.

Kyle Shanahan being 0-37 when trailing by 8+ in the 4th Q is absolutely wild.

Skyy Moore was targeted 33 times last regular season, 3 were INTs, he had a 66% catch rate, and a 51.3 passer rating when targeted. Skyy has been targeted 27 times so far this season, 2 have been INTs, he has an even worse catch rate of 51% this season, and has a 52.7 passer rating when targeted.

Patrick Mahomes: 15 TDs, 8 INTs, 95.8 Passer Rating
Russell Wilson: 16 TDs, 4 INTs, 101.7 Passer Rating

Saints targets/yards since Alvin Kamara returned in Week 4:
Chris Olave (44/215 Yds)
Kamara (44/228)
Michael Thomas (35/273)
Rashid Shaheed (24/327)

Tony Pollard has gone an NFL-high 121 consecutive touches without a touchdown.

We are 28% of the way through Deshaun Watson’s $230M contract has led to the following:
• Watson has played in only nine full games out of the first 24 games of his contract.
• 28% of the $230M has led to the team winning only five games with Watson on the field.
• Delivered an above league average Adjusted Net Yards per Passing Attempt only twice.

Per PFF, Jameson Williams has now officially dropped more catchable passes than he’s caught. Up to ~55% on the season.

Giants offense ranks this season:
• Points Per Game - 32nd
• Yards Per Game - 32nd
• Yards Per Play - 32nd

Cooper Kupp has never recorded back to back games under 30 receiving yards… until the past two weeks of this season.

Cooper Kupp has seen 17 targets over his last two games. He's caught just 6 of those targets for 50 yards.

Miami Dolphins running back snaps today:
• Raheem Mostert: 40
• Salvon Ahmed: 19
• Jeff Wilson: 18

The Fun Stuff:

Best fortune cookie ever for Raiders fans.

The Raiders fired their GM, HC, OC, and benched their starting QB on a short week. They are still favored over the Giants in Week 9.

Chargers Social Media Team Never Misses

Rasul Douglas “Just got here”

…or maybe his feelings are still hurt from this encounter with his new teammate?

DeAndre Hopkins has now caught the first career TD of 4 different QBs
• Case Keenum
• Deshaun Watson
• Tom Savage
• Will Levis

Lamar Jackson’s crazy positioned TD throw.

LAR 20 - 43 DAL - Scorigami!

Best throw made by someone wearing a Browns jersey in a loooong time.

This is why you don’t make live bets, kids.

Waiver Weapons - Week Nine:

Last week was a huge success for the newsletter squad. Trey McBride was the overall TE1, Taysom Hill was the TE3, and Pierre Strong was the RB29 in PPR, or the RB25 in Half-PPR. Overall our best week yet. It goes without saying that McBride and Hill are must starts from here on out, but with Ford probably back to healthy this week we will look at other options.

Camaron’s Pick: Demario Douglas, WR, NE (23% rostered on Sleeper) - Kendrick Bourne has unfortunately torn his ACL, so the Patriots offensive opportunities go up for Douglas and last week he capitalized by playing a season high 77% of snaps. The Washington Commanders are a great matchup for passing offenses and Douglas looks to capitalize.

Chris’ Pick: Taylor Heinicke, QB, ATL (12% rostered on Sleeper) - I’m shocked that a guy coming off a performance where he posted 12.4 fantasy points on just a 54% snap share is still so widely available. Heinicke came in to start the second half this Sunday vs. the Titans and dropped 175 yards + a tuddy in his limited time on the field; he could have had more, and possibly even authored a game-winning drive, if not for a critical Van Jefferson drop on 4th and 1 with 1:30 left in the game. Look for Tiny Heini - he’s 6’1” and I’m 6’3” so I get to call him that - to stand out in Week 9 after a full week of practice with the first-team; the Falcons play Minnesota, who are giving up the 10th most points to QBs this season.

Will’s Pick: Chigoziem Okonkwo, TE, TEN (21% rostered on Sleeper) - Cam rudely stole my pick this week, so I’m going with a guy that I think should be picked up for the final stretch of the season, rather than a weekly start, since he faces a PIT defense that hasn’t been kind to TEs. Okonkwo has had an abysmal start to the season after immense hype, but I’m a big believer in post-hype sleepers, especially when there’s a change of scenery. Will Levis lit up the scoreboard last week after getting his first playing time. People will point to Okonkwo’s lackluster fantasy performance amidst all the points scores, but there’s two things to consider: 1. It was just the first game with Levis. If a connection is established/seen in any of the following games, it’ll be too late to snag Okonkwo for free. 2. ATLs defense against WRs is terrible, so it makes sense Levis peppered Hopkins.

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