“If you took the best attributes of Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon you’d have Aaron Jones”
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Some day we’ll look back and the 2022 Kyle Pitts season will either be a hilarious foot-note in his otherwise spectacular career, or, no, nope… We’re just going to stick with that one.
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Analysis & Hype:
Cole Kmet is TE2 since Week 5, and fantasy football’s highest-scoring tight end over the last three weeks.
Counterpoint: “Averaging 3/36/.8 [Since week 5] My god the te landscape is 🗑”
Highest 'off-target' rates:
30% - Kyle Pitts
24% - DJ Moore
23% - Jahan Dotson
22% - Marvin Jones
21% - Darnell Mooney
20% - Elijah Moore, Nico Collins
19% - Drake London
18% - Robbie Anderson
16% - Jerry Jeudy
15% - Diontae Johnson, George Pickens, Amari Cooper
Amon-Ra St. Brown's last 12 healthy games:
– 22.5 PPR points per game (would be WR4 over current Tyreek Hill - 22.2 FPG)
– Has seen at least 24% of targets with 9+ total targets in every game in this span
Tony Pollard has started just three games in his NFL career. He's scored 24.8, 36.7, and 31.2 DraftKings points in them. Ezekiel Elliott has scored 24+ DraftKings points in just 2 of his last 38 games.
Terry McLaurin target share in four games with Taylor Heinicke this season: 29.7% Terry McLaurin target share in six games with Carson Wentz this season: 15.9%
In his return from a two-game absence, Nico Collins led the Texans in routes run and targets:
- 27% target share
- 31% air yardage share
- 5-49-1 receiving on 10 targets.
Most receptions by rookies this season:
Chris Olave 46
Garrett Wilson 42
Drake London 38
Romeo Doubs 31
George Pickens 29
Cardinals RB Snaps in week 10 now that James Conner is healthy:
James Conner 65
Keaontay Ingram 5
Eno Benjamin 1
Air Yards Leaders through week 10:
Tyreek Hill: 1,251
Chris Olave: 1,113
Stefon Diggs: 1,090
Davante Adams: 1,082
Terry McLaurin: 968
Target per route run leaders at RB
33% - Austin Ekeler
32% - Javonte Williams
29% - CMC, Alvin Kamara
28% - Breece Hall, James Cook
27% - Antonio Gibson, Nyheim Hines, Rex Burkhead
26% - JD McKissic, Rhamondre Stevenson
Target per route run rate leaders at WR
33% - Tyreek Hill, Amon-Ra St. Brown
30% - CeeDee Lamb, Davante Adams
29% - Cooper Kupp, Stefon Diggs
28% - DeAndre Hopkins
27% - Chris Olave, Justin Jefferson
26% - Drake London, AJ Brown
25% - DK Metcalf, Garrett Wilson, Chris Godwin
Not enough routes... but here are some fun small sample size rates:
47% - Laviska Shenault (with an average depth of target of -0.4 yards)
35% - Chase Claypool (with CHI)
27% - Kyle Philips
25% - Christian Watson
24% - Kadarius Toney
23% - Rashod Bateman
21% - Treylon Burks
Week 10 TE air yardage leaders:
135 - Kyle Pitts
79 - Cole Kmet
69 - Juwan Johnson
65 - Pat Freiermuth
59 - Greg Dulcich
58 - Dawson Knox
56 - Dalton Schultz
51 - TJ Hockenson, Austin Hooper
48 - Travis Kelce
Donovan Peoples-Jones last six games – 40 targets, 28 receptions, 446 yards, 0 TD, 2.36 yards per route run.
Amari Cooper in the same span – 42 targets, 23 receptions, 366 yards, 3 TDs, 1.91 YPRR
Justin Fields had a TOTAL of 4 designed runs in Weeks 4-6. In the four games since then, #Bears have called 34 designed Fields runs. Fields is now on pace for an outrageous 176 carries, 1273 rush yards, 10 rush TDs.
Isiah Pacheco took over 73% of the Cheifs' rushing attempts in Week 10. He was second in route participation at 39%. Jerick McKinnon continued to operate as lead passing-down option and registered 23% target share with the WRs banged up. Clyde Edwards-Helaire 6% snaps
Treylon Burks saw a 75% route participation in his return from IR. He tied for second on the team with an 18% target share. This is a good first step and the first-round pick could surprise in the coming weeks.
Rushing yards allowed by Philly over the the past three games:
Week 8: 144
Week 9: 168
Week 10: 152
DT Jordan Davis suffered a high ankle sprain in Week 8 and his absence has been noticeable since.
RBs facing Philly in the next few weeks:
Jonathan Taylor
Aaron Jones
Derrick Henry
Saquon Barkley
Jonathan Taylor took over every-down role in Week 10.
94% snaps
73% attempts
91% route participation
7% target share
100% short yardage
50% inside five-yard line
100% long-down distance
100% two-minute offense
Hines trade = Taylor insulated from bad game scripts.
“Kenneth Walker's role has gone from good to elite. [Week 10]:
* 45-of-52 snaps
* 10-of-10 RB carries
* 29 routes on 40 Geno dropbacks
* 8 targets for a 24% share
Good reminder that just because a RB wasn't asked to play in pass game in college, doesn't mean he can't do it.”
Parris Campbell PPR finishes last three games with Matt Ryan: WR10, WR5, WR11.
For the third time in four games, D'Onta Foreman has rushed for 115+ YDS.
Kyle Pitts is on track to be the first tight end ever to finish with 100+ targets and under 8 PPR points per game
/r/DynastyFF Thread: “Ham_PhD's 2023 RB Prospect Rankings & Tiers”
Cold Water:
Courtland Sutton in his last 3 games:
6 receptions 50 receiving yards 0 TD
Justin Herbert's YPA (6.3) has dipped over a full yard compared to his previous first two seasons (7.4) This the result of running most of your passing offense through a RB.
Fewest yards per touch this season (min. 50 touches)
Cam Akers (3.03)
Brian Robinson (3.22)
Najee Harris (3.76)
Fast WRs and soft tissue injuries. “Jahan Dotson returned last night, first game since pulling hammy in Week 4. Only ran 15 routes on 33 Taylor Heinicke dropbacks, saw one target. Dotson yards per route run down to a concerning 0.92.”
Deebo Samuel 2021: 8.6 yard aDOT, 18.2 YPC, 14 TDs on 136 touches (10.2%)
Deebo Samuel 2022: 5.3 yard aDOT, 12.1 YPC, 3 TDs on 62 touches (4.8%)
The Patriots' offense has dropped off precipitously in almost every statistical category compared to 2021:
INT rate: 16th to 32nd
Sack rate: 8th to 21st
Third down: 10th to 21st
Red zone: 11th to T-28th
Yards per play: 11th to 21st
DVOA: 9th to 26th EPA/play: 10th to 25th
The Fun Stuff:
Tua and Mike McDaniel mic’d up.
George Kittle is a troll.
The Justin Jefferson catch.
“if you took the best attributes of Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon you’d have Aaron Jones”
Old man Brady going for it.
i know ball guys: Lamar Jackson will never make it
i know ball guys: ok lamar made it but jalen hurts will never make it
i know ball guys: ok lamar and hurts made it but justin fields will never make it
DeeJay Dallas’ player picture.
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