Hope you're ready for Kadarius, Hollywood, Schultz, Ja'Marr, Pitts, Herbert, Knox, and Lamar Hype.
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Welcome back!
We’re getting excited by about half the NFL this week, so let’s get straight to it. Enjoy!
-Will
Analysis & Hype:
All-Time TE Receiving Yards in First 5 NFL Games:
1. Kyle Pitts: 308
2. Aaron Hernandez: 301
3. Jordan Reed: 298
Most receptions among rookies without a drop this season:
1. Kyle Pitts, TE Atlanta - 24
2. Rondale Moore, WR Arizona - 21
Kyle Pitts only passed blocked on 2 snaps in Week 5. He played 85% snaps wide or slot. He has been 80%+ the last two weeks. His ADOT has been 10.0+ the last three games.
Kyle Pitts has the 3rd best PFF receiving grade among Rookie WRs/TEs after Rondale Moore and Ja'Marr Chase.
Cowboys targets over the past three weeks:
Dalton Schultz (22 targets)
...
..
.
CeeDee Lamb (12)
Amari Cooper (12)
Cedrick Wilson (7)
Ezekiel Elliott (6)
Tony Pollard (5)
Blake Jarwin (5)
Noah Brown (5)
Dalton Schultz led all TEs in target share in week 5 (28.6%)
James Robinson had PPF’s highest rushing grade in week 5.
James Robinson’s last three games with Carlos Hyde available:
* 67% snaps
* 54-of-70 RB touches (77.1%)
* 10-of-13 RB targets
* 10% target share
* 6-of-9 RB carries inside 10
Most missed tackles forced per run (min. 55 attempts):
1. Kareem Hunt- 0.33
2. Nick Chubb- 0.31
Ja'Marr Chase through first 5 games:
23 Receptions
453 Rec. Yards
5 TDs
Randy Moss through first 5 games:
22 Receptions
463 Rec. Yards
6 TDs
Ja'Marr Chase is on pace for 1,550 yards (and 17 touchdowns), which would be the most yards ever by a rookie.
1. Ja'Marr Chase, 2021 (1,550)
2. Bill Groman, 1960 (1,473)
3. Justin Jefferson, 2020 (1,400)
4. Anquan Boldin, 2003 (1,377)
5. Randy Moss, 1998 (1,313)
6. Odell Beckham Jr., 2014 (1,305)
Also has the 2nd-most fantasy points (trailing only Randy Moss) and 3rd-most receiving yards (trailing only Moss and Anquan Boldin) by any rookie WR through their first 5 games all-time.
Ja’Marr Chase has a perfect passer rating of 158.3 when targeted vs man coverage and:
93.4 PFF Grade (1st)
405 Yards (1st)
5 TDs (1st)
Ja’Marr Chase is the betting favorite to win OROY (+350)
Chase would be first WR to win since OBJ in 2013
Ja’Marr Chase on 20+ yard throws:
(1st) 98.0 grade
(1st) 6 catches
(1st) 261 yards
(1st) 4 TDs
Top PFF grades among rookie wide receivers:
1. Ja'Marr Chase, 79.9
2. Rondale Moore, 79.1
3. Kadarius Toney, 74.2
4. DeVonta Smith, 69.5
5. Amon-Ra St. Brown, 64.8
6. Jaylen Waddle, 63.7
Lamar Jackson:
• 67.1% comp.
• 1,519 passing yards
• 341 rushing yards
• 10 total TDs
Josh Allen:
• 62.3% comp.
• 1,370 passing yards
• 188 rushing yards
• 14 total TDs
Jalen Hurts:
• 64.8% comp.
• 1,365 passing yards
• 256 rushing yards
• 10 total TDs
We’re down to just one player who has finished as a top-12 player at his position in each week this season. Jalen Hurts.
Justin Herbert already has the most 300-yard games in a player's first two NFL seasons. There are 12 games left this season.
Jimmy Johnson: "In fact, if I was drafting in the NFL today out of all the players, my number 1 pick will be Justin Herbert." "Over Mahomes."
Justin Herbert last 3 games: 12 TD 0 INT 3-0 vs Chiefs, Raiders, Browns
Lamar Jackson:
• 1st QB in NFL history to complete 85% of passes in 400-yard game.
• Highest comp % in a 40-pass game in NFL history (86.0%).
• Set a franchise-record 442 pass yards
• Overcame largest deficit of his NFL career (19)
Lamar Jackson's 1,860 combined passing and rushing yards this season are more than 18 NFL teams.
“Lamar Jackson now sits fifth in the NFL in passing yards with 1,519 through five games. That’s 29 more PASSING YARDS than Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes and 149 more than Buffalo’s Josh Allen. Oh, and Jackson also has 341 rushing yards (8th most in the league).”
Leading Wide Receivers In Air Yards:
Davante Adams 728
Courtland Sutton 644
Stefon Diggs 636
Mike Evans 636
Mike Williams 589
Terry McLaurin 588
Brandin Cooks 575
Tyreek Hill 574
Marquise Brown 545
Ja'Marr Chase 541
DeVonta Smith 524
Kadarius Toney had a 93.3 PFF receiving grade in Week 5 — 1st among all WRs.
Kadarius Toney leads the NFL with 141 yards after the catch over the past two weeks.
Kadarius Toney is tied for 2nd in most missed tackles forced on receptions for all WRs with 9.
“Amazingly, Kadarius Toney only played 37 of 68 snaps for the #Giants and still had the game (10 catches, 189 yards) he did.”
Kadarius Toney broke Odell Beckham Jr's single-game Giants rookie receiving yards record. Toney finished with 189. Beckham had 185.
Most receiving yards in a single game for a WR in their first five career games:
1. Jerry Butler - 255
2. Anquan Boldin - 217
T3. Ken Burrow - 190
T3. Randy Moss - 190
5. Kadarius Toney - 189
“If Marquise Brown had caught one of his three easy long scores vs Detroit, he would be the #6 fantasy WR on the year in PPR leagues with at least 19.1 PPR points and a score in every game. If he had caught all three, he would be WR1 on the year through four games.”
“Marquise Brown is just very casually the WR6 so far this season... scoring 19+ fantasy pts in 4 of his 5 games. He has more fantasy pts than DJ Moore, Ja'Marr Chase, Justin Jefferson, DK Metcalf.”
Mike Evans through 5 games:
393 yards and 4 TDs
On pace for: 1336 yards 14 TDs
Dawson Knox is the first Bills TE in team history with a TD in 4-straight games.
Bills Week 5 WR/TE route rates:
Emmanuel Sanders - 94%
Dawson Knox - 91%
Stefon Diggs - 81%
Cole Beasley - 53%
Gabriel Davis - 22%
Rondale Moore ran more routes than Christian Kirk in Week 5 (3 carries + 6 targets).
Antonio Brown put up a 7-124-2 receiving line on 8 targets yesterday despite being shadowed by Xavien Howard. Impressive showing.
“Mac Jones (75.5) is the highest-graded rookie QB through the first five weeks, per
@pff. He leads all rookies in:
• Yards (1243)
• Completions (135)
• Comp % (71.1)
• Adj. comp % (78.3)
• Big time throws (7)
• Passer rating (86.4)
• 1st downs (62)”
“Anybody else notice that Sam Darnold's "resurgence" seemed to coincide with an absurd number of DJ Moore targets...
And then today DJM has hardly been targeted todayand Darnold looks like he is playing for Adam Gase?
Coincidence?”
Cold Water:
“Jonnu Smith signed a $50M contract with NE in offseason. He ran six routes on 33 Mac Jones dropbacks yesterday.”\
Over Justin Fields' three starts for the Bears, he's totaled 25 rushing yards.
Over Tom Brady's last three starts for the Buccaneers, he's totaled 30 rushing yards.
Jacksonville wide receiver targets, Week 5:
Jamal Agnew: 8
Tavon Austin: 5
Marvin Jones: 5
Laviska Shenault: 3
John Lynch speaking about Brandon Aiyuk: "He hasn't made the strides we expect him to"
Patrick Mahomes interceptions:
2019 — 5
2020 — 6
2021 — 6 (thru 5 games)
Allen Robinson has 35 yards or fewer in 4-of-5 games this year.
/r/fantasyfootball thread: Who is the biggest lotto ticket currently on waivers right now?"
Potential Trade Targets:
Top 8 Unrealized Air Yards:
Courtland Sutton 267
Robby Anderson 263
Stefon Diggs 262
Mike Evans 243
AJ Brown 219
Marvin Jones 217
Elijah Moore 216
Corey Davis 199
Which TEs are playing from WR alignments the most?
1. Mike Gesicki - 96%
2. Dan Arnold - 84.4%
3. Logan Thomas - 79%
4. Kyle Pitts - 78%
5. Hunter Henry - 74%
6. Travis Kelce - 72%
7. TJ Hockenson - 68%
8. Zach Ertz - 65%
“D'Andre Swift is currently your league leader in high-value touches (carries inside the 10-yard line and receptions) with an average of 7.2/game and has had 5 HVTs in every game this season.”
“We’re 5 weeks in & D’Andre Swift has more receptions than any other RB in the NFL.”
Laviska Shenault has forced 10 missed tackles on receptions — 1st among WRs.
Top rushing yard performances from quarterbacks so far in 2021:
1. Lamar Jackson, Week 2 vs KC: 107 yards
2. Daniel Jones, Week 2 vs WAS: 95 yards
3. Trey Lance, Week 5 vs ARI: 89 yards
Bills final HB snap count this weekend:
Zack Moss 42
Devin Singletary 15
Out of 57
All Bills Players: “The Bills have arguably the easiest remaining schedule this season.”
“Javonte Williams = League. Winner.
His Final 9 Games…(Rush DVOA Rank)
DAL (8th)
PHI (23rd)
LAC (31st)
KC (32nd)
DET (28th
CIN (7th
LVR (14th)
LAC (31st)
KC (32nd)”
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The Fun Stuff:
Davante Adams asked about the Packers-Bears rivalry: “I hate everybody that I play against.”
*Diontae Johnson open deep* Big Ben:
“We gotta get Justin Herbert a new last name. Bruh way too cold to be a HERBERT.”
“A lot of people around the league say this might be the year that everybody figures out Lamar.” They figured out he’s good.
The Buffalo Bills Twitter account bullying Nick Wright.
“Lamar gotta be the best passing RB in NFL history”
“It's time somebody admits the truth. The key to the Chiefs entire offense was Sammy Watkins.”
The elusive double punt.
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