"Dynasty RB1 gets changed more frequently than a taxi driver's oil."

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Imagine having Joe Mixon in your lineup and losing by 3 points. *Shakes fist at Justin Fields and Davante Adams*

Let’s get ready for week 10.

Analysis & Hype:

Joe Mixon was the RB11 in fantasy points heading into week 9. However, he was the RB1 in expected fantasy points. He left week 9 as the RB2 in fantasy points. I’ve come to appreciate expected fantasy points as a metric more and more this year.

Jets head coach Robert Saleh confirmed that they’re moving Elijah Moore to the slot. In college, only 10% of Elijah Moore's career receiving yards came lined up out-wide. He averaged 157.1 YFS per game in his final season, the most by any Power 5 WR since at least 2000.

Justin Fields before and after the Bears pivoted to a run-focused scheme.
Weeks 1-6
+ 3.5 designed runs per game (7th-most)
+ 13.0 FPG (28th-most)
Weeks 7-9
+ 8.7 designed runs per game (most)
+ 31.0 FPG (most)

Over the past four weeks, Justin Fields has a total of 110.52 fantasy points. That's more than any other player in the NFL.

Only players this season with 1000+ passing yards and 500+ rushing yards:
Lamar Jackson
Justin Fields

Tyreek Hill is now on pace for 143 catches and 2,085 receiving yards in his first year with Dolphins. 17-game season. The NFL records are 149 catches (Michael Thomas 2019) and 1,964 yards (Calvin Johnson 2012).

Most receiving yards through 9 weeks:
1. Hill - 1,104 yds
2. Jefferson - 867 yds
3. Diggs - 857 yds
4. Kupp - 813 yds
5. Waddle - 812 yds

Most rushing yards through 9 weeks:
Derrick Henry - 870 #Browns Nick Chubb - 841 #Giants Saquon Barkley - 779 #Raiders Josh Jacobs - 743 #Jaguars Travis Etienne - 680

Most top-eight fantasy PPR finishes at RB:
Austin Ekeler (6) Derrick Henry (5)
Christian McCaffrey (4)
Nick Chubb (3)
Travis Etienne (3)
Kenneth Walker (3)
Josh Jacobs (3)
Rhamondre Stevenson (3)
Cordarrelle Patterson (3)

Week 9 RB Fantasy Usage:
1 Joe Mixon (27.1 exp half PPR)
2 Ken Walker (24.2)
3 Austin Ekeler (23.3)
4 Travis Etienne (22.7)
5 Dalvin Cook (21.9)
6 Rhamondre Stevenson (21.2)
7 Jamaal Williams (16.1)
8 Dameon Pierce (15.8)
9 Leonard Fournette (15.2)
10 Miles Sanders (14.8)

We're 9 games into season. Geno Smith:
Leads NFL in completion percentage
6th in yards per attempt
4th in QBR
3rd in passer rating

“Jaylen Warren’s RB opportunity share increased from just 16% in Week 7 to 39% in Week 8 The Steelers had a Bye in Week 9, and we all know rookie RBs typically get a bump in workload after the Bye Not to mention we’ve heard reports that Warren will get more work moving forward.”

Steelers RB touches this year:
Najee Harris 132
Jaylen Warren 41
Touches to gain 10+ yards:
Najee Harris 12
Jaylen Warren 13

Travis Etienne’s last 5 games:
Week 9: 126 yards, 2 TDs
Week 8: 162 yards, 1 TD
Week 7: 119 yards, 1 TD
Week 6: 108 yards
Week 5: 114 yards

Tua Tagovailoa's last two games:
75.8% completion rate (1st)
10.4 yards per attempt (1st)
6 TDs (T-1st)

In his first game with the Dolphins, Jeff Wilson Jr. earned the lead job.
- Out-snapped and out-touched Raheem Mostert
- 5 red-zone touches (Mostert had 2)
- 5.7 yards per carry (Mostert had 2.9)
Wilson is four years younger and has familiarity with Mike McDaniel's offense.

“George Pickens could be a Post-Bye Rookie Bump king with Chase Claypool out and the Steelers dropping back to pass a ton.” (Chart with WR fantasy usage by team)

Amari Cooper
- 93.5% route participation
- 258 routes run
- 14.2 yards/reception
- 2.14 yards/route run
- 27.3% target share

Donovan Peoples-Jones
- 94.1% route participation
- 253 routes run
- 13.9 yards/reception
- 1.64 yards/route run
- 19% target share

Don’t play WRs expected to get a lot of coverage from rookie corner Sauce Gardner.
Receivers covered by Sauce this year:
Amari Cooper, Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Diontae Johnson, George Pickens, Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, Courtland Sutton, Jerry Jeudy, Stefon Diggs, Gabe Davis.
Total catches vs man coverage - four, for 28 yds.

Isaiah Likely with Mark Andrews (shoulder, knee) out in week 9:
* 52-of-68 snaps (76%)
* 23 slot, 12 inline, 11 wide, 6 backfield
* 20 routes on 25 Lamar Jackson dropbacks
* Team-high 5 targets for a 22.7% share
* 1-24-1 result

Texans RB touches since Week 8:
Dameon Pierce 45
Rex Burkhead 3
Dare Ogunbowale 1

TJ Hockenson's Vikings debut. Massive usage, especially considering he just joined team on Wednesday:
* 60-of-65 snaps (92%)
* 32 inline, 19 slot, 9 wide
* 36 routes on 42 Kirk Cousins dropbacks
* 9 targets for a 21.9% share
* 9-70-0 result

“TJ Hockenson's usage in his first game with #Vikings was absurdly good. And this team has been very throw-heavy in red zone this season.” (link includes chart)

Thread on /r/DynastyFF: “Opinion: Wide Receivers affect QB performance to a greater degree than most realize”

This isn’t really fantasy relevant, but pretty incredible.
Wins with 50+ pass attempts, NFL history:
1. Tom Brady, 24
2. Dan Marino / Warren Moon, 5

Cold Water:

Matthew Stafford without Cooper Kupp
W1: 112 yards, 0 TD, 3 INT
W2: 164 yards, 1 TD, 2 INT
W3: 205 yards, 0 TD, 0 INT
W4: 132 yards, 0 TD, 1 INT
W5: 183 yards, 0 TD, 1 INT
W6: 173 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT
W8: 108 yards, 0 TD, 0 INT
W9: 38 yards, 0 TD, 0 INT
1,115 yards, 2 TD, 8 INT

Yardage of longest 2022 TD scored:
98: BUF
79: BAL
75: LAR, WAS, ATL, CAR, HOU
74: SEA
67: DEN
66: NYJ
65: NYG
61: CHI, JAX
60: CIN, MIA, NO
58: LV
57: SF, DAL
53: PHI, MIN
51: DET
45: KC
44: NE
41: CLE
38: ARI
37: GB
32: IND
29: TEN
28: TB
23: LAC
8: PIT

“Yes, but the Steelers gave up that 98 yarder that Buffalo has. So really they were a part of the play at the top of the list.”

After tying the NFL record of 8 consecutive games with 8+ receptions, Amon-Ra St. Brown has been held to under 8 receptions in 5 straight games.

The Lions entered today allowing 32.1 points per game, by far the worst in the NFL. They hadn't held anyone to fewer than 24 points. The Packers managed 9 points today and have lost 5 straight games with Aaron Rodgers at QB for the first time since 2008.

The Fun Stuff:

"Dynasty RB1" gets changed more frequently than a taxi driver's oil.

Justin Fields has gone off since this video.

Mike McDaniel being Mike McDaniel.

Giants DC Wink Martindale on Dameon Pierce: “I don’t know who said something to him or did something to him to make him so angry… but that might be the angriest runner in the league”

“Me to my 3-6 fantasy teams”

Football player & standup comedian.

Clutch offensive assist by the Ref.

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