DJ Moore Sleeper Agent
Welcome back!
Last week, after 5 long years, DJ Moore truthers finally had their day in the sun. As one of those truthers, here is to many more of those day to come.
We got a good one for you this week. Let’s get to it.
Analysis & Hype:
Desmond Ridder at home:
• Rating - 100.4
• Avg Yds - 214.8
• Avg Fpts - 15.8
• Cmp% - 70%
Ridder on the road:
• Rating - 70
• Avg Yds - 176.8
• Avg Fpts - 7.9
• Cmp% - 59%
Ja'Marr Chase is the first player in NFL history to have multiple games with 10+ catches, 150+ yards and 3+ TDs in his first three seasons in the league.
• 15-192-3 today.
• 11-266-3 in Week 17, 2021, vs Chiefs
Through 5 weeks, Marquise Brown is averaging more PPG than:
• CeeDee Lamb
• Garrett Wilson
• Chris Olave
• Devonta Smith
• Jaylen Waddle
• DK Metcalf
• Michael Pittman Jr.
In games w/ Dolphins when they didn’t leave early due to injury:
• Carries per game: Jeff Wilson 11.4, Raheem Mostert 11.3
• Targets/game: Wilson 3.4, Mostert 2.7
• Rush yards/game: Wilson 52.3, Mostert 54.7
• Rush TDs/game: Wilson 0.4, Mostert 0.2
• Receiving yards/game: Wilson 13.4, Mostert 14.1
• Receiving TDs/game: Wilson 0.1, Mostert 0.1
The Raiders have beaten the Packers for the first time since 1987.
Josh Downs is pacing for 110+ targets & 850+ yards as a rookie.
Sam LaPorta now has as many career touchdowns as Kyle Pitts.
Zack Moss in Jonathan Taylor’s first game back.
• 80% snap rate
• 68% route participation
• 25 touches for 195 scrimmage yards
• 2 TD
Even if you take away Breece Hall's dope 72 yard TD he averaged 5 yards per carry.
Brock Purdy:
• 6th highest PFF Passing Grade for a rookie QB since 2015 (74.2).
• Highest completion percentage in NFL HISTORY for a QB through their first 14 games (69.2%).
• 22-4 career TD-INT ratio (25-4 TD-INT ratio including playoffs).
Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua combined for 67% of the Rams targets in Week 5.
Number of games with 230 yards receiving:
• Justin Jefferson in his entire career: 0
• DJ Moore in his first season with Justin Fields: 1
Number of games with 3 TDs:
• Justin Jefferson in his entire career: 0
• DJ Moore in his first season with Justin Fields: 1
(Before we get angry hate-mail, this was mostly included for comedy purposes.)
DJ Moore's 49.0 fantasy points (PPR) are the most by any Bears player in a single game over the last 20 seasons. He is just the 5th player in NFL history with 500+ receiving yards and 5+ TD in his first 5 games with a team.
Yards per target, min. 30 targets, NFL history:
1. DJ Moore, 2023, 15.6
2. Rashid Shaheed, 2022, 14.4
3. Rob Gronkowski, 2016, 14.2
4. Devery Henderson, 2008, 14.2
5. Devery Henderson, 2006, 13.8
6. Tyler Lockett, 2018, 13.8
7. Tim Dwight, 1999, 13.4
8. Nico Collins, 2023, 13.4
Justin Fields through the past two games:
• 43/64 (67%)
• 617 passing yards
• 82 rushing yards
• 8 passing TD’s
• 1 INT
• 129.0 average passer rating
Justin Fields through the first three games of the season:
• 51/88 (58%)
• 526 passing yards
• 109 rushing yards
• 3 passing TD’s
• 4 INT’s
• 66.0 average passer rating
Justin Fields threw 4 TD passes in back to back games. Current QBs to accomplish this + how many times:
• Mahomes = 5
• Rodgers = 3
• Russ = 2
• Cousins = 2
• Allen = 1
• Burrow = 1
• Carr = 1
• Watson = 1
• Lamar = 1
Michael Wilson has:
• more fantasy points + yards than Calvin Ridley (tweet was from before Wk5)
• more receptions than Jaylen Waddle
• #3 in fantasy points per target (3.11)
• #3 in yards per target (14.8)
• #8 in target separation (doing this as a rookie with Josh Dobbs is wildly impressive)
• #10 in yards per reception
• #16 in yards per route run
Steelers yards per drive ranks with and without Chase Claypool last year: 31st/3rd. Bears yards per drive ranks with and without Chase Claypool this year: 27th/5th.
Calvin Ridley’s first-read target rate rebounded in a big way in Week 5 (Reminder: no QB has targeted the first-read at a higher rate than Trevor Lawrence since the start of 2022.) Ridley’s weekly rate:
36% — Week 1
18% — Week 2
23% — Week 3
9% — Week 4
35% — Week 5
Brandon Aiyuk Ranks:
• 5th in Target Rate
• 2nd in Yards / Route Run
• 2nd in PFF Grade
Cold Water:
New England decided to punt to NO from the NO 40 on 4th & 3 with 9:48 remaining in the 3rd while losing 0 to 24. With a Surrender Index of 39.71, this punt ranks at the 99.6th percentile of cowardly punts of the 2023 season, and the 98th percentile of all punts since 1999.
The Texas Rangers ended up outscoring the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday.
Antonio Gibson out-snapped Brian Robinson on Thursday 35 to 24. Robinson still saw every running back rush in the negative script (6).
Kyle Pitts route running tape is… bad…
Curtis Samuel has outscored Jahan Dotson in all 5 games this season.
Sam Howell has thrown 191 passes after five games. Jahan Dotson (30 targets) and Terry McLaurin (31) have only combined to see 31.4% of the targets,
Most sacked QB seasons ever:
• David Carr '05 - 68
• Randall Cunningham '85 - 72
• David Carr '02 - 76
Sam Howell's current pace - 98
Rashee Rice leads all WRs with a 16.7% drop rate. Kadarius Toney is second at 15.8%.
The Fun Stuff:
Eberflus changing the game with this new blitz.
Suddenly everything about Al Michaels makes sense.
The total EPA leader wins the MVP basically every season. Brock Purdy entered this week leading in total EPA and only grew his lead this Sunday.
Rumors resurfacing that Panthers GM Scott Fitterer forced the Panthers to draft Bryce Young instead of CJ Stroud.
This week on Twitter X, there was a great conversation about crazy NFL stats + stat lines; a few stuck out to us:
• Jerome Bettis averaging 0.2 yards per carry with three TDS
• Jerry Rice’s unquestioned dominance in the 40+ year old receiver conversation (s/o to Tom Brady, and sorry Brett Favre)
• Jim Harbaugh’s surprising rushing greatness
Welcome Back Breece Hall
One could say the Giants defensive coordinator hasn’t gotten a Wink of sleep
Quick thinking on special teams
Our whole goal this entire off-season was statistical output through five games. -Mike McDaniel.
The Chicago Bears currently own picks 1, 2, and 39 in the NFL Draft if the season ended today.
Travis Etienne played against himself in fantasy this week.
Brock Purdy reveals that he still has a roommate that he splits rent with.
Things that didn’t exist the last time the Broncos won a game against the Chiefs: Disney+, Fortnite, GOT Season 6, “Hello” by Adele, iPhone 7 / AirPods, Star Wars Sequel Trilogy, Stranger Things, TikTok, Tom Holland’s Spider-Man, White Claw Hard Seltzer.
Waiver Weapons - Week Six:
We had a big hit last week; targeting the passing offense that’s playing against the Bears has been pretty successful so far. Camaron’s pick of Sam Howell ended up being the QB5 on the week, while Logan Thomas (TE4) and Curtis Samuel (WR14) were also big hits. Hopefully you ignored Chris though, who continues to jinx players far and wide; if there’s anyone you need a hex put on, be sure to reach out.
Camaron’s pick: Desmond Ridder, QB, ATL (14% rostered on Sleeper) - Welcome back Anthony Richardson support group members. We’re back with part 2 of “oh god, Richardson’s out, who the hell is on waivers.” Well do not worry because Desmond Ridder is back again to give us some help. As you saw from the first link, Desmond Ridder at home is a completely different player than at away games, and this week he gets the third best fantasy QB match up in the Commanders. Ridder showed a lot of confidence last week, and hopefully he can repeat that performance this week.
Chris’ pick: D’Onta Foreman, RB, CHI (30% rostered on Sleeper) - Khalil Herbert is injured, Travis Homer is injured, and Roschon Johnson is in the concussion protocol - so Foreman may be the last man standing in Chicago’s backfield come kickoff this Sunday. Minnesota’s run defense is stout, but it’s hard to argue with that kind of volume, especially if you’re scrounging for a startable RB amidst the injury chaos at the position. Now that I wrote about him something will inevitably go awry, but at least know that I’m going down with you on that ship in the event it does - signed, a guy who tried Zero RB for the first time this year and really doesn’t like it.
Will’s pick: Jonathan Mingo, WR, CAR (22% rostered on Sleeper) - The rookie WR has quietly been getting a high snap count so far this season (86% or higher, other than one game where he got injured.) His targets have also been promising. The lack of TDs have probably helped him fly under the radar despite the solid usage through the first 5 games in his career.
Love these so much man.
Honestly, look forward to these articles. Such amazing nuggets in there. Thank you!