🏈 40 nuggets from last week
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We’re three weeks in, and you know what that means? Full-blown panic mode!
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Analysis & Hype:
First Read Target Market Share:
1. Cooper Kupp (41.3%)
2. Mark Andrews (40.6%)
3. CeeDee Lamb (39.7%)
4. Courtland Sutton (39.6%)
5. Ja'Marr Chase (38.6%)
6. AJ Brown (38.5%)
7. Jaylen Waddle (37.5%)
7. Amari Cooper (37.5%)
Jalen Hurts had 20 rushing yards today. That's his second-lowest rushing total in a single game since becoming starter at the end of the 2020 season. He still scored 27.6 points.
To adjust for blowouts, by excluding the second-half of his games. This season, Jalen Hurts is averaging:
+ 29.8 passing fantasy points per 4 quarters
+ 20.6 rushing fantasy points per 4 quarters
+ 50.4 total fantasy points per 4 quarters
David Montgomery was injured in week 3. Khalil Herbert proceeded to score 30.9 PPR points, something Montgomery's never done in his career.
Running backs with 80% of their team's running back rushes in both Weeks 2 and 3: Leonard Fournette, Christian McCaffrey, Josh Jacobs, Dameon Pierce.
DeVonta Smith has the highest single game grade of WRs this season (92.5). What else would you expect from a WR that can demoralize an entire franchise.
Romeo Doubs registered a 95% route participation with Sammy Watkins and Christian Watson out, per PFF data. Led the team with a 25% target share and 21.3 fantasy points.
Treylon Burks only saw a 7.7% target share today, but according to Next Gen Stats, he ran the most routes for the Titans against the Raiders.
Joe Mixon leads all RBs in total opportunities… And ranks #1 in expected fantasy points.
Top 10 Fantasy Football Wide Receivers -- PPR points per game:
28.5 Stefon Diggs
27.3 Cooper Kupp
24.4 Amon-Ra St. Brown
24.3 Jaylen Waddle
21.8 Tyreek Hill
21.2 Michael Pittman Jr.
20.9 Christian Kirk
19.1 Curtis Samuel
19.0 A.J. Brown
18.4 Marquise Brown
Top 10 PPR Fantasy Football RBs -- points per game:
21.6 Nick Chubb
21.6 Saquon Barkley
18.8 James Robinson
17.7 Clyde Edwards-Helaire
16.9 D'Andre Swift
16.8 Aaron Jones
16.3 Cordarrelle Patterson
15.9 Jamaal Williams
15.8 Khalil Herbert
15.6 Jonathan Taylor
Top 7 Fantasy Football Tight Ends -- points per game.
21.7 Mark Andrews
17.4 Travis Kelce
12.7 Tyler Conklin
11.8 Zach Ertz
11.4 Darren Waller
11.3 Dallas Goedert
11.0 Tyler Higbee
If you take away all of Lamar Jackson's rushing numbers, he'd be the QB5 in standard fantasy scoring. If you take away all of Lamar Jackson's passing numbers, he'd be the RB11 in standard fantasy scoring. This man is a QB1 and RB1 built into one player.
Lamar Jackson leads the NFL in passer rating (119.0) and passing TDs (10). He's also 3rd in the NFL in rushing yards (243).
QB scoring leaders in fantasy football:
1. Lamar Jackson
2. Josh Allen
3. Jalen Hurts
4. Patrick Mahomes
5. Lamar Jackson without his rushing
Chris Olave has led the league in air yards in back-to-back weeks. He has 603 over this span. Only one other player over 400 this season. Has 13 targets and 80-plus yards in back-to-back games. His 268 yards is the 10th-most by any rookie WR (through Weeks 1-3) all-time.
Chris Olave target shares by week:
1: 9.4%
2: 32.5%
3: 33.3%
He's one of 18 wide receivers with a 26%+ target share on the season.
Chris Olave is on pace for 1,518 receiving yards in his rookie year.
Five RB's are seeing 6+ targets per game:
-Austin Ekeler (7.3)
-Breece Hall (7)
-Javonte Williams (7)
-Joe Mixon (6.6)
-JD McKissic (6.3)
DeVante Parker's target shares by week:
1: 6.7%
2: 5.9%
3: 31.3%
Wind Sprint Rankings for yardage run on untargeted routes through Week 3:
Elijah Moore (1,882 yds)
Jahan Dotson (1,574)
Corey Davis (1,469)
Mike Williams (1,457)
Terry McLaurin (1,444)
Curtis Samuel has led the Commanders in targets in every game this season. “No player is getting schemed up more than Samuel. Lining up in the slot and backfield. Lots of motion, screens and play-action.”
“The Jaguars have trailed by four or more points on 24% of plays in 2022, down from 68% last season. Great development for a young team but a bad one for Travis Etienne. Etienne dominating passing-down work, but Jags haven't needed that role so far. Inversely, James Robinson.”
NFL Leaders in AirYAC (Air Yards + YAC) per game:
1. Chris Olave: 192.4
2. Jaylen Waddle: 155.4
3. A.J. Brown: 152.7
4. Mark Andrews: 149
5. Cooper Kupp: 145.7
6. Marquise Brown: 140.7
7. Stefon Diggs: 139
8. Davante Adams: 138
9. Courtland Sutton: 135.7
10. Rashod Bateman: 133.4
TE Air Yards leaders through Week:
1) Mark Andrews (376)
2) Kyle Pitts (283)
3) Travis Kelce (213)
4) Darren Waller (198)
5) Pat Freiermuth (173)
Jerick McKinnon has been the Chiefs RB snap leader in all 3 games this season.
Devonta Smith has out-targeted AJ Brown over the Eagles' last two games.
Trevor Lawrence is sitting at QB10 through 3 games with
70/111
772 yards
6 TD - 1 INT
Rhamondre Stevenson stepped into an RB1 utilization profile in Week 3, per PFF data
62% snaps
54% rushing atts
64% route participation
16% target share
This chart shows how frequently quarterbacks are throwing it 15+ air yards and their completion rates on those throws. (Sorted by completion rate so we can all see King Tua on top.)
Cold Water:
Clyde Edwards-Helaire ranks 25th in expected fantasy points, but is 4th in actual points.
Tom Brady hasn't scored 15 points in a game yet this year. He did that in 71% of his games last year.
“Kyle Allen and Cam Newton supported Christian McCaffrey and DJ Moore as fantasy weapons. Baker Mayfield is not. Meanwhile, Nick Chubb, Kareem Hunt, and David Njoku are looking great in Cleveland. Odell Beckham bounced back last year with the Rams. Maybe Baker is the problem.”
Darrell Henderson RB Rush Share and Target Share by week:
1: 81.3%; 12.2%
2: 40.0%; 0.0%
3: 25.0%; 4.0%
The Fun Stuff:
Kliff Kingsbury calling plays for Kyler.
Cooper Rush better be careful or he’s going to have to play QB for the Carolina Panthers.
Travis Kelce channeling all our feelings when our undefeated fantasy team drops one. (NSFW)
Elijah Moore truthers in 2021: The only reason why his rookie season wasn't bigger is because of Zach Wilson. Elijah Moore truthers in 2022: Zach Wilson is BACK time for the Jets real No. 1 WR to go to the moon.
Not sure what Russ is cookin’ here, but it’s something.
*Diontae Johnson wide open for a 1st down* Mitchell Trubisky:
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