2023 FF Championship Weekend!
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Welcome back!
This is it, the one for that banner that never fades. Good luck to everyone in the big dance this weekend.
It’s been a great season, and we wanted to take a moment to express our sincere appreciation for all the support and encouragement. Your input and suggestions have been invaluable.
We also want to give a special thanks to Chris and Camaron, who joined our team this year as brand-new writers. With their help, we’re going to be able to continue to improve the newsletter in the coming years. Chris and Camaron have enjoyed interacting with all of you, collecting feedback, and growing with the team.
In the coming weeks, Camaron will be releasing a review of our first-ever draft guide, and there will be plenty of discussion about prospects and more over on our Discord.
Once again, thank you for your support. We wish you all the best for the upcoming year and look forward to seeing you again soon.
Now go take home those championships!
Best regards,
The FF Newsletter team
Analysis & Hype:
Puka Nacua’s 17.6 Rookie PPG has only been topped by:
• Ja’Marr Chase
• Odell Beckham Jr
His 2.53 Rookie Yards per Team Pass Attempt has only been topped by:
• Ja’Marr Chase
• Justin Jefferson
• Odell Beckham Jr
Stefon Diggs has gone 7-85-1, 7-92-1, 7-104-1 and 6-58-1 in his last four regular-season meetings against the Patriots.
EPA/play against top 10 defenses this season:
1. Josh Allen, 0.24
2. Dak Prescott, 0.12
3. Jordan Love, 0.12
4. Lamar Jackson, 0.11
5. Matthew Stafford, 0.10
6. Patrick Mahomes, 0.10
Since Antonio Pierce took over as Raiders head coach, Vegas' D/ST is first in fantasy points scored per game.
Malik Nabers has better career highs than Marvin Harrison Jr in:
• Fantasy Points per Game
• Target Share
• Yards per Team Pass Attempt
• PFF Receiving Grade
• Yards per Route Run
and is a full year younger.
Lamar Jackson is 19-3 against the NFC in his career.
Ravens vs 49ers Quarterback EPA/play:
• Brock Purdy: -0.44
• Lamar Jackson: 0.18
• Sam Darnold: 0.57
Jameson Williams target share since the Wk 9 bye:
• Wk 14: 6%
• Wk 15: 21%
• Wk 16: 15%
Joe Flacco leads the 2023 Cleveland Browns in pass attempts, passing yards, and passing TD. He has played 4 games.
Amari Cooper has now had a 200+ yard game with three different teams:
• Raiders
• Cowboys
• Browns
Terrell Owens is the only other player to ever do that in NFL history.
Amari Cooper is the first player in Cleveland history with back to back 1K receiving seasons.
Day 3 Rookie Wide Receivers with a 20%+ Target Rate and 2.00+ Yards per Route Run:
• Tyreek Hill
• Marques Colston
• Martavis Bryant
• Hunter Renfrow
• Brian Hartline
• Dontayvion Wicks
Derrick Henry’s career passing stats: 7-of-9, 37 passing yards, 4 touchdowns.
Kirk Cousins before his injury was on pace for:
• 459/661
• 4953 Yards
• 38 TDs
• 10.6 INTs
Josh Allen has a higher PPG than any other Quarterback, more 28+ Fantasy Point weeks than any other Quarterback, and is FIFTH in MVP odds.
Jalen Hurts just set the record for most rushing TD’s in a single season by a QB with 15. All 15 of Hurts’ TD’s combined for 39 rushing yards; Cam Newton, who held the record previously, ran for 49 yards alone on his 14th rushing TD in 2011.
If D’Andre Swift had gotten just *half* of the 1-yard rushing TDs that Jalen Hurts’ has scored (15) he would go from the RB17 in PPR to the RB8, ahead of Kyren Williams and Derrick Henry
Buccaneers' target leaders this season:
• Chris Godwin: 122
• Mike Evans: 121
QBs this season with 25+ Pass TD and fewer than 10 INT
• Dak Prescott
• Brock Purdy
• Baker Mayfield
Tua Tagovailoa is the NFL's most sensitive QB to pressure in the NFL
When not pressured, he ranks:
• #3 in YPA (9.2)
• #2 in comp % (78%)
• #3 in EPA
• #2 in success rate
When pressured, he ranks:
• #21 in YPA (5.7)
• #34 in comp % (43%)
• #23 in EPA
• #34 in success rate
Cold Water:
Dalton Kincaid averages with Dawson Knox (9 games):
• 4.3 Targets
• 3.4 Catches
• 25 Yards
• 0 Touchdowns
• 5.9 PPG
• 7.3 yards per reception
Stefon Diggs 2022
• Weeks 1-13: 22.6 ppg (WR1)
• Weeks 14-17: 6.7 ppg (WR60)
Stefon Diggs 2023
• Weeks 1-13: 19.0 ppg (WR6)
• Weeks 14-16: 7.7 ppg (WR50)
Las Vegas Raiders QB Aidan O'Connell did not complete a pass in 3 entire quarters and the Raiders beat the Chiefs 20-14.
D'Andre Swift, Austin Ekeler and Joe Mixon have each been tackled at the one-yard line and did NOT score a TD on the same drive an NFL-high 6 times this season.
Tony Pollard has 11 carries from inside the 5-yard line this season. He’s scored two TDs on them.
The Bengals this season:
• Against the AFC North: 0-5
• Against everyone else: 8-2
Sam Howell now ranks:
• 22nd in QBR (46.2)
• 29th in PFF Passing Grade (62.0)
• Leads the NFL in both INT’s (15) & sacks (59).
The list of QBs to have a start with 0 Pass TD, 4 INT and fewer than 20 completions over the last 5 NFL seasons
• Zach Wilson
• Davis Mills
• Sam Howell
• Jake Luton
• Sam Darnold
• Brock Purdy
Derrick Henry has thrown 4 TDs in his career on 9 attempts. Kenny Pickett has thrown 13 TD's in 713 attempts.
The Fun Stuff:
The Detroit Lions have won the NFC North for the first time in history.
Josh Allen recognizing his old kicker Steven Hauschka and his family.
The Chiefs made history this Sunday.
Lamar Jackson since tweeting “Johnny”:
• 9-1 record
• 2,848 total yards
• 16 total TDs
• 98.9 passer rating
Apparently Brock Purdy led the entire field in bench presses at his combine. The more you know!
Nasty Jahmyr Gibbs juke move.
The Eagles are the first team in NFL history to fumble 4+ times, commit 9+ penalties, allow a 65+ yard pick-6 and allow a 65+ yard TD pass all in the same game. They still ended up winning, 33-25.
Don’t forget that just this off season, every NFL team passed on trying to sign/trade for Lamar Jackson.
Things just keep going wrong for the Chiefs.
Alex Moore is the only one who can bring down Lamar.
Brandon Aiyuk burying a linebacker.
Potentially the next Dynasty WR1 Derrick Graham.
Christian Wilkins carrying Jason Sanders around the Dolphins locker room like he's a Bar Mitzvah boy.
Jaylen Warren showing how to block.
The Vikings had Kirk Cousins holding the boombox in the tunnel with Justin Jefferson about to take the field.
Jaire Alexander got suspended for a game… for making himself a part of the coin toss even though he wasn’t a captain, and almost screwing the whole thing up.
Josh Allen was on a “big dog” rampage this week.
Waiver Weapons - Week Seventeen:
Only one more week for waiver weapons and we’ve got a good one to come off of. Jameson Williams had a good game with 9.3 PPR points, Nick Mullens finished with 20.5 points as the QB11, and while Hunter Henry ended up missing the game due to injury, the backup TE Mike Gesicki finished with 9.5 PPR points. Let’s finish the season strong with a few more spot start players.
Camaron’s Pick: Juwan Johnson, TE, NO (14% rostered on Sleeper) - Johnson has had a tough season. Through 16 weeks he’s only been able to start and finish eight games. However, in those 8 games, he’s averaged 7.9 PPR points. In the three games he’s caught a touchdown, Johnson has also finished as a top 12 Tight end on the week. This week the Saints play the Buccaneers, and they are in need of a big game if they want any chance at the NFL playoffs. The Buccaneers are 5th best matchup for Tight Ends and present a great oppurtunity for Juwan Johnson to help out some teams that lost TJ Hockenson.
Chris’ Pick: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB, KC (47% rostered on Sleeper) - Sorry to the half of you that this recommendation doesn’t apply to (though CEH is a bit less rostered on ESPN [30%] and Yahoo [43%]), but for those with the opportunity to grab + start Mr. Edwards-Helaire, seize it if Isiah Pacheco is out. McKinnon is on IR, Pacheco (concussion) is trending in the wrong direction, and KC draws a decent matchup against Cincy this week; the Bengals have given up almost 100 yards per game on the ground to RBs (12th most in the league) and are tied for seventh-most rushing TDs allowed (0.8 per game) this season. With McKinnon sidelined, CEH also figures to continue building on his recent success through the air; he’s caught all seven of his targets for a 7-106-1 receiving line over the past two weeks, and should be even more involved as the lead back + a trusted target for Mahomes. Look for KC to try and shake things up a bit with their passing game faltering as of late; CEH should land as a mid-range RB2, and could seal the deal for all of my fellow ZeroRB’ers out there.
Will’s Pick: Demario Douglas, WR, NE (33% rostered on Sleeper) - We’re goin back to the well on this one. Doublas is coming off a solid game where he put up 74 yards on 8 targets. Patriots are likely going to have to throw a ton against he Bills and Douglas has emerged as the primary WR in New England.
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